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南方九省再生稻安全生长期及高温热害时空变化

段里成 郭瑞鸽 蔡哲 林志坚 吴自明 方圣 张崇华 刘丹

段里成, 郭瑞鸽, 蔡哲, 林志坚, 吴自明, 方圣, 张崇华, 刘丹. 南方九省再生稻安全生长期及高温热害时空变化[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2021, 29(12): 2061−2073 doi: 10.12357/cjea.20210244
引用本文: 段里成, 郭瑞鸽, 蔡哲, 林志坚, 吴自明, 方圣, 张崇华, 刘丹. 南方九省再生稻安全生长期及高温热害时空变化[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2021, 29(12): 2061−2073 doi: 10.12357/cjea.20210244
DUAN L C, GUO R G, CAI Z, LIN Z J, WU Z M, FANG S, ZHANG C H, LIU D. Spatiotemporal changes in the characteristics of the safe growth period and high temperature damage of ratoon rice in nine southern provinces of South China[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2021, 29(12): 2061−2073 doi: 10.12357/cjea.20210244
Citation: DUAN L C, GUO R G, CAI Z, LIN Z J, WU Z M, FANG S, ZHANG C H, LIU D. Spatiotemporal changes in the characteristics of the safe growth period and high temperature damage of ratoon rice in nine southern provinces of South China[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2021, 29(12): 2061−2073 doi: 10.12357/cjea.20210244

南方九省再生稻安全生长期及高温热害时空变化

doi: 10.12357/cjea.20210244
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(41965008)、2020年度国内外作物产量气象预报专项项目(20200202)、江西省气象局青年项目(20190613)和南昌市农业气象重点实验室开放研究基金(2018NNZS102)资助
详细信息
    作者简介:

    段里成, 主要从事作物高产栽培与农业气候资源利用研究。E-mail: 18070514389@163.com

    通讯作者:

    刘丹, 主要从事气候资源利用及气象灾害研究。E-mail: nuistdan@126.com

  • 中图分类号: S162.3

Spatiotemporal changes in the characteristics of the safe growth period and high temperature damage of ratoon rice in nine southern provinces of South China

Funds: This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41965008), the Special Project of Weather Forecast of Crop Yield at Home and Abroad in 2020 (20200202), the Youth Projects of Jiangxi Meteorological Bureau (20190613), and the Open Research Fund of Nanchang Agricultural Meteorological Laboratory (2018NNZS102)
More Information
  • 摘要: 本研究目的在于明确再生稻主要种植省份(南方九省, 包括四川、重庆、湖北、湖南、江西、安徽、江苏、浙江、福建)再生稻安全播种日期、安全播种日期至安全齐穗日期持续天数(简称安全生长期)和高温热害时空变化特征, 为南方九省再生稻充分利用温光资源和安全生产提供理论参考。根据南方九省601个气象台站1981—2019年的日平均气温资料, 利用气候倾向率及突变分析等方法, 分析近39年研究区再生稻安全播种日期、安全生长期及高温热害的演变规律。结果表明, 1981—2019年九省再生稻安全播种日期以3.3 d∙(10a)−1提早, 安全齐穗日期以1.5 d∙(10a)−1推迟, 安全生长期以4.8 d∙(10a)−1延长。其中安全播种日期突变发生在2001年, 突变后较突变前提早9 d; 安全生长期突变发生在1996年, 突变后较突变前延长12 d。九省安全播种日期提早天数南部较北部明显, 安全生长期延长天数东南部较西北部明显。6—7月和8—9月高温热害呈增加的趋势, 其中轻、中、重度增加趋势6—7月分别为48.5站次∙(10a)−1、30.3站次∙(10a)−1、37.4站次∙(10a)−1, 8—9月分别为52.7站次∙(10a)−1、18.2站次∙(10a)−1和34.6站次∙(10a)−1。6—7月高温热害较8—9月偏重发生, 年平均轻、中、重度高温热害发生站次6—7月较8—9月多83.9站次、41.6站次和115.9站次。6—7月和8—9月轻、中和重度高温热害突变发生年份分别为1998年、1988年、1986年和1992年、2002年、2002年, 突变后高温热害明显增加。高温热害发生站次6—7月和8—9月均表现为轻度>重度>中度。气候变暖背景下南方九省再生稻安全播种日期提前和安全生长期延长对提高温光资源利用和产量有利, 但高温热害增多不利于再生稻优质高产。
  • 图  1  九省再生稻种植点(a)和气象站点分布(b)

    Figure  1.  Topographic map of ratooning rice planting sites (a) and distribution of weather stations (b) in the nine provinces

    图  2  南方九省再生稻安全播种日期(a)、安全生长期(b)空间分布特征

    Figure  2.  Spatial distribution of safe sowing date (a) and safe growth period (b) of ratoon rice in the nine provinces of South China

    图  3  1981—2019年南方九省再生稻安全播种日期气候倾向率(a)、安全齐穗日期气候倾向率(b)空间分布特征

    Figure  3.  Spatial distribution of the climate tendencies of safe sowing date (a) and safe full heading date (b) of ratoon rice from 1981 to 2019 in the nine provinces of South China

    图  4  1981—2019 年南方九省安全生长期、≥10 ℃初日和≥22 ℃终日日序逐年变化趋势

    Figure  4.  Changed trends of safe growth period, begining day of ≥ 10 ℃, and ending day of ≥ 22 ℃ from 1981 to 2019 in the nine provinces of South China

    图  5  1981—2019年南方九省安全播种日期(a)、安全齐穗日期(b)及安全生长期(c)突变分析

    Figure  5.  Abrupt changes of safe sowing date (a), safe full heading date (b) and safe growth period (c) from 1981 to 2019 in the nine provinces of South China

    图  6  1981—2019年南方九省6—7月(a-c)、8—9月(d-f)轻、中、重度高温热害发生空间分布特征

    Figure  6.  Spatial change characteristics of mild, moderate and severe high temperature damage during June to July and August to September from 1981 to 2019 in the nine provinces of South China

    图  7  1981—2019年南方九省6—7月(a)、8—9月(b)高温热害总站次发生空间分布特征

    Figure  7.  Spatial change characteristics of total high temperature damage druring June to July and August to September from 1981 to 2019 in the nine provinces of South China

    图  8  1981—2019年南方九省6—7月(a)、8—9月(b)逐年高温热害发生站次

    Figure  8.  Times of annual high temperature damage occurrence stations during June to July and August to September from 1981 to 2019 in nine provinces of South China

    图  9  1981—2019年南方九省6—7月(a-c)和8—9月(d-f)轻度、中度、重度高温热害突变分析

    Figure  9.  Abrupt changes of mild, moderate and severe heat damage during June to July (a-c) and August to September (d-f) from 1981 to 2019 in nine provinces of South China

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2021-04-24
  • 录用日期:  2021-06-02
  • 网络出版日期:  2021-07-14
  • 刊出日期:  2021-12-07

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