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共享社会经济路径下汉江流域产水和水质净化服务时空演变

陈泽怡 余珮珩 陈奕云 江颂 白少云 顾世祥

陈泽怡, 余珮珩, 陈奕云, 江颂, 白少云, 顾世祥. 共享社会经济路径下汉江流域产水和水质净化服务时空演变[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2021, 29(10): 1800−1814 doi: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.210160
引用本文: 陈泽怡, 余珮珩, 陈奕云, 江颂, 白少云, 顾世祥. 共享社会经济路径下汉江流域产水和水质净化服务时空演变[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2021, 29(10): 1800−1814 doi: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.210160
CHEN Z Y, YU P H, CHEN Y Y, JIANG S, BAI S Y, GU S X. Spatio-temporal changes of water resources ecosystem services in the Hanjiang River Basin based on the shared socioeconomic pathway[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2021, 29(10): 1800−1814 doi: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.210160
Citation: CHEN Z Y, YU P H, CHEN Y Y, JIANG S, BAI S Y, GU S X. Spatio-temporal changes of water resources ecosystem services in the Hanjiang River Basin based on the shared socioeconomic pathway[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2021, 29(10): 1800−1814 doi: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.210160

共享社会经济路径下汉江流域产水和水质净化服务时空演变

doi: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.210160
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(41771440)和国家高分辨率对地观测系统重大科技专项(89-Y40-G19-9001-18/20-03)资助
详细信息
    作者简介:

    陈泽怡, 主要研究方向为地理信息科学与生态系统服务。E-mail: chen_zy@whu.edu.cn

    通讯作者:

    陈奕云, 主要研究方向为地理信息科学与可持续发展。E-mail: chenyy@whu.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: X52

Spatio-temporal changes of water resources ecosystem services in the Hanjiang River Basin based on the shared socioeconomic pathway

Funds: The study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41771440) and the Major Scientific and Technological Project of National High Resolution Earth Observation System of China (89-Y40-G19-9001-18/20-03)
More Information
  • 摘要: 面向流域治理与区域可持续发展, 提出一种耦合共享社会经济路径(SSPs)与土地利用模拟(FLUS)模型的流域生态系统服务综合评估框架, 以汉江流域为例, 开展不同社会发展情景下的未来土地利用模拟, 利用InVEST模型评估土地利用变化的水生态系统服务效应, 揭示流域水源涵养与水质净化服务对社会发展决策的响应及时空演变规律。研究结果表明: 1)2035年各SSPs情景下汉江流域的产水深度较2015年均大幅提高, 产水深度增加的地区多集中于汉江流域东南、中部及西部部分建设用地增加的区域; 2)由于人类活动频繁, 城市快速扩张, SSPs情景下产水深度增加的地区多集中于汉江流域东南、中部及西部部分建设用地增加的区域; 3) 2035年各SSPs情景下的流域氮磷元素负荷量较2015年均有所减少, 部分氮磷元素负荷量增加的地区主要集中于流域东南及西部; 4)汉江流域的社会经济活动以及农业活动是造成水环境污染的主要原因。研究结果可服务于汉江流域国土空间规划编制及可持续的水资源资产管理工作, 支撑汉江生态经济带建设, 推动长江流域水生态环境改善。
  • 图  1  汉江流域区位图

    Figure  1.  Location map of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  2  耦合共享社会经济路径(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, SSPs)与未来土地利用模拟模型(Future Land Use Simulation, FLUS)的流域生态系统服务综合评估框架

    SD: 系统动学; CA: 元胞自动机;ANN: 神经网络算法。

    Figure  2.  Comprehensive assessment framework of watershed ecosystem services integrated both Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SPPs) and Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS) model

    SD: System Dynamics; CA: Cellular Automata; ANN: Artificial Neural Network.

    图  3  基于系统动力学模型的汉江流域土地利用流程图

    Figure  3.  Land use flow chart of the Hanjiang River Basin based on System Dynamics model

    图  4  汉江流域2015年土地利用现状与2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下土地利用的模拟结果

    Figure  4.  Land use status in 2015 and land use simulation results under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  5  2015年和2035年共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域年最大、最小与平均产水深度

    Figure  5.  Annual maximum, minimum and average water production depths in 2015 and simulated results under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basins

    图  6  2015年汉江流域产水深度与2035年共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域产水深度变化

    Figure  6.  Water production depth in 2015 and the change of water production depths under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  7  2015年和2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域不同用地类型平均产水深度

    Figure  7.  Average water production depths of different land use types in 2015 and under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  8  2015年和2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域年最大、最小与平均单位面积总氮和总磷元素负荷量

    Figure  8.  Annual maximum, minimum and average nitrogens and phosphorus loads in 2015 and under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  10  2015年汉江流域磷元素负荷量与2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域磷元素负荷变化量

    Figure  10.  Phosphorus load in 2015 and the change of phosphorus load under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  9  2015年汉江流域氮元素负荷量与2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域氮元素负荷变化量

    Figure  9.  Nitrogen load in 2015 and the change of nitrogen load under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    图  11  2015年和2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域不同用地类型平均氮磷元素负荷量

    Figure  11.  Average nitrogen and phosphorus loads of different land use types in 2015 and under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin

    表  1  不同土地利用类型的氮磷元素输出相关参数

    Table  1.   Output parameters of nitrogen and phosphorus of differnt land use types

    用地类型
    Land use type
    总氮元素负荷
    Load total nitrogen (t∙km−2)
    总磷元素负荷
    Load total phosphorus (t∙km−2)
    去除效率
    Retention efficiency (%)
    耕地 Cropland3.270.36425
    林地 Woodland0.3480.03570
    草地 Grassland1.10.06848
    水域 Water area1.50.0365
    建设用地 Urbanized land1.10.0255
    未利用地 Barren land0.8560.0025
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  2035年共享社会经济路径(SSPs)下的汉江流域各类土地利用类型面积预测结果

    Table  2.   Area prediction results of various land use types based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios in 2035 of the Hanjiang River Basin ×103 hm2 

    用地类型
    Land use type
    SSP1SSP2SSP3SSP4SSP5
    耕地 Cropland 6797.1 6847.4 7047.1 6890.4 6754.6
    林地 Woodland 7152.9 7135.4 7028.1 7127.4 7131.8
    草地 Grassland 3377.4 3372.4 3385.9 3377.4 3378.5
    水域 Water area 650.6 643.5 620.5 632.5 643.0
    建设用地 Urbanized land 979.5 957.9 875.7 930.0 1049.7
    未利用地 Barren land 12.3 13.2 12.3 12.1 12.2
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  2015—2035年不同共享社会经济路径(SSPs)情景下汉江流域土地利用面积转移矩阵

    Table  3.   Land use transfer matrix of the Hanjiang River Basin based from 2015 to 2035 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios ×103 hm2 

    2035用地类型
    Land use type
    2015
    耕地
    Cropland
    林地
    Woodland
    草地
    Grassland
    水域
    Water area
    建设用地
    Urbanized land
    未利用地
    Barren land
    总计
    Total
    SSP1耕地 Cropland6797.1000006797.1
    林地 Woodland81.26983.580.65.81.807152.9
    草地 Grassland48.3117.43208.71.31.703377.4
    水域 Water area36.391.4597.95.30.7650.6
    建设用地 Urbanized land123.912940.664.1620.51.4979.5
    未利用地 Barren land0.60.300.20.111.112.3
    总计 Total7087.47239.23331.3669.3629.413.218 969.8
    SSP2耕地 Cropland6847.4000006847.4
    林地 Woodland84.4696182.75.3207135.4
    草地 Grassland49.1116.93203.11.61.703372.4
    水域 Water area20.291.3608.54.50643.5
    建设用地 Urbanized land86.3152.344.253.9621.20957.9
    未利用地 Barren land0000013.213.2
    总计 Total7087.47239.23331.3669.3629.413.218 969.8
    SSP3耕地 Cropland7047.1000007047.1
    林地 Woodland15.15802.81159.131.2200.17028.3
    草地 Grassland23.31224.42121.96.210.103385.9
    水域 Water area1.424.94.8575.812.31.3620.5
    建设用地 Urbanized land0.518745.555.7586.90.1875.7
    未利用地 Barren land00.100.40.111.712.3
    总计 Total7087.47239.23331.3669.3629.413.218 969.8
    SSP4耕地 Cropland6890.4000006890.4
    林地 Woodland696970.879.16.51.90.17127.4
    草地 Grassland49116.53208.71.81.403377.4
    水域 Water area8.69.31.7608.73.80.4632.5
    建设用地 Urbanized land70142.241.851.9622.31.8930
    未利用地 Barren land0.40.400.4010.912.1
    总计 Total7087.47239.23331.3669.3629.413.218 969.8
    SSP5耕地 Cropland6754.6000006754.6
    林地 Woodland84.26960.679.15.72.207131.8
    草地 Grassland50.61183206.61.61.60.13378.5
    水域 Water area35.59.21.1592.24.70.3643
    建设用地 Urbanized land161.9151.344.569.6620.91.51049.7
    未利用地 Barren land0.60.100.2011.312.2
    总计 Total7087.47239.23331.3669.3629.413.218 969.8
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2021-03-16
  • 录用日期:  2021-06-04
  • 网络出版日期:  2021-08-13
  • 刊出日期:  2021-10-01

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